Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.476235 0.529416 0.586791 0.653406 0.728762 0.811525 0.909523
2025-03-23 0.394324 0.467955 0.553507 0.660751 0.792280 0.949207 1.151918
2025-03-30 0.341083 0.422253 0.521236 0.651781 0.820839 1.034297 1.327268
2025-04-06 0.304690 0.390238 0.498717 0.647852 0.849872 1.117338 1.503821
2025-04-13 0.267911 0.352729 0.463765 0.621725 0.843848 1.149872 1.611830
2025-04-20 0.249388 0.336915 0.454974 0.628447 0.881241 1.243123 1.813136
2025-04-27 0.233938 0.323478 0.447567 0.635363 0.918154 1.337625 2.025209
2025-05-04 0.220114 0.310871 0.439795 0.640274 0.951478 1.428664 2.240783
2025-05-11 0.207159 0.298287 0.430706 0.641843 0.978972 1.512212 2.452483
2025-05-18 0.197305 0.289384 0.426118 0.649450 1.015930 1.613410 2.704337
2025-05-25 0.183128 0.272842 0.408549 0.634839 1.015036 1.651403 2.849368
2025-06-01 0.175932 0.266479 0.406145 0.644194 1.054323 1.760417 3.134217
2025-06-08 0.165556 0.254591 0.394414 0.637615 1.066538 1.824752 3.346619
2025-06-15 0.158521 0.247576 0.390025 0.643019 1.100146 1.930742 3.653256
2025-06-22 0.149425 0.236558 0.378207 0.634463 1.107542 1.988497 3.869960
2025-06-29 0.141999 0.227809 0.369537 0.630641 1.123043 2.062684 4.129553
2025-07-06 0.131418 0.213108 0.349775 0.605301 1.095625 2.050261 4.201850
2025-07-13 0.127051 0.208735 0.347548 0.611821 1.129879 2.163832 4.565845
2025-07-20 0.123017 0.204672 0.345556 0.618528 1.164925 2.282324 4.957165
2025-07-27 0.118953 0.200301 0.342700 0.623292 1.196333 2.396168 5.353450
2025-08-03 0.114684 0.195306 0.338373 0.624814 1.221082 2.498002 5.735020
2025-08-10 0.111506 0.192091 0.337094 0.632192 1.258667 2.631897 6.216438
2025-08-17 0.105635 0.183629 0.325516 0.618021 1.248742 2.657183 6.420932